Референци


  1. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/329950688_Analysis_of_SIR_epidemic_model_with_information_spreading_of_awareness

  2. https://www.lacan.upc.edu/admoreWeb/2018/05/all-models-are-wrong-but-some-are-useful-george-e-p-box/

  3. https://www.bbc.com/news/health-52446965#:~:text=Coronavirus is a completely new,getting life back to normal.

  4. https://stattrek.com/probability/probabilityrules.aspx#:~:text=The rule of subtraction follows,event A will not occur.&text=Based on the rule of,is 1.00 - 0.80 or 0.20.

  5. Andrea Remuzzi and Giuseppe Remuzzi COVID-19 and Italy: what next?, The Lancet 13 March 2020, https://www.thelancet.com/article/S0140-6736(20)30627-9/fulltext

  6. Vattay G. Predicting the ultimate outcome of the covid-19 outbreak in italy. arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.07912. 2020 Mar 17.

Пример dashboard: https://github.com/henrifroese/infectious_disease_modelling/blob/master/app.py

  1. John Hopkins dashboard - https://systems.jhu.edu/research/public-health/ncov/

  2. Liang, L., Tseng, C., Ho, H.J. et al. Covid-19 mortality is negatively associated with test number and government effectiveness. Sci Rep 10, 12567 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-68862-x

  3. Italy lockdown article: https://www.axios.com/italy-coronavirus-timeline-lockdown-deaths-cases-2adb0fc7-6ab5-4b7c-9a55-bc6897494dc6.html

  4. Lajmanovich, A. and Yorke, J.A. (1976) A Deterministic Model for Gonorrhea in a Nonhomogenous Population. Mathematical Biosciences, 28, 221-236. https://doi.org/10.1016/0025-5564(76)90125-5